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[cdn-nucl-l] NYT 'Safety Myth' Left Japan Ripe for Nuclear Crisis



Bill
 
The renowned Lady Gaga says that it's safe, so it must be safe!  http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/celebritynews/8594765/Tearful-Lady-Gaga-san-tells-world-Japan-is-safe.html
 
There is so much antinuclear rhetoric in the media and in the education system that safety has to be "oversold" or there will be no nuclear energy. 
 
Of course there a potential for large releases.  The safe plant design and the safe operator procedures/actions at Fukushima did prevent large releases in spite of the weaknesses that were revealed by the rather extreme conditions of the external hazard (Lady Luck?  Mother Nature is a real bitch). 
 
Every time a becquerel of radioactivity is released from a nuclear plant the world (fueled by the media) just goes bonkers.  People in Vancouver start popping iodine pills.  I looked through the 2010 book by Charles L Sanders, 'Radiation Hormesis and the Linear-No-Threshold Assumption."  There is no solid evidence to support the notion that radioiodine causes cancer, yet the nuclear safety regulations are based on limiting radioiodine dose.  Section 12.3, Thyroid Cancer, first sentence: A U.S. National Council on Radiation Protection report on thyroid cancer said, "available human data on low dose I-131 exposures have not shown I-131 to be carcinogenic in the human thyroid" [22].  Then I look at the radioiodine treatment of patients with hyperthyroidism, who receive an average of 300 MBq of radioiodine.  The mean total body dose is 54 mGy (5.4 rad), and the conclusion is: "The decrease in overall cancer incidence and mortality in those treated for hyperthyroidism is reassuring."
 
Now I read the Preface:
 
Outrageous, unsubstantiated statements are made concerning the hazards of ionizing radiation, in spite of a vast published, peer-reviewed literature on molecular, cellular, animal, and epidemiological studies indicating not harm but benefit from low-dose ionizing radiation. Claims that as many as a million children across Europe and Asia may have died in the womb as a result of radioactive fallout from Chernobyl or claims that the health impacts of low levels of internal radiation are underestimated by between 100 and 1,000 times are common among antinuclear arguments. Such statements are fueled by proponents of the linear nonthreshold (LNT) assumption, which assumes that any dose of radiation, no matter how insignificant, results in increased mortality from cancer and other diseases.
 
The most dishonest, manipulative research I have ever seen in my nearly 50 years of participation in radiobiological research has been published by radiation epidemiologists who are proponents of the LNT assumption. Their hundreds of publications and involvement in national and international radiation protection agencies have put them in a position of power and control within research establishments.  They have continued the deception in spite of the overwhelming published, scientific data that clearly demonstrates how wrong the LNT assumption is.  ...
 
----- Original Message -----
Sent: Sunday, June 26, 2011 7:29 AM
Subject: Re: [cdn-nucl-l] NYT 'Safety Myth' Left Japan Ripe for Nuclear Crisis

Jerry,

I agree with you that in the response to Fukushima, the low dose scare is unfounded and misdirects attention but the article is not about low doses of radiation per se.  There was and is a potential for large releases (or overall plant safety if you will) - that is a real issue.  It is only because of our industries obsession with the three Cs (Control, Cool, Contain) that we have such a good accident record overall and why Fukushima turned out to be a non-event off site.  On-site is another story of course.  Not that we don't obsess about the wrong safety items things sometimes, mind you.  To me the point of the article is that safety can be oversold - internally and externally, domestically and internationally - to the point that we let our guard down.  You know better than me that the bigger risks at plants lie in the service water and electrical systems, not in the large LOCAs and such.  Overall the industry has done really well but my point is that we HAVE to do really well, not because of incorrect fears over low doses but because of the real risks of large doses.  You can bet that assurance of decay heat removal will be bumped up in priority in plant design and operation - and rightly so.  And let's give a hat tip to nuclear designers, operators and regulators everywhere, and to lady luck, that we were given the opportunity to become wiser about assurance of decay heat removal without killing anyone.

Bill

At 01:27 AM 26/06/2011, Jerry Cuttler wrote:
Interesting article in June 24th NYT.
 
The nuclear plants are safe.  No one has been killed (nor even injured) by radiation.
It's the radiation scare that is causing the "crisis" and the enormous human suffering.
Of course, there is a large financial loss; but that was a rather large earthquake and tsunami.
The cleanup costs will be much higher than need be, again because of the enormous radiation scare.
The non-nuclear costs and loss of life caused by the earthquake and tsunami should be a much more important consideration, but ...
 
 
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/06/25/world/asia/25myth.html?nl=todaysheadlines&emc=tha22
 
‘Safety Myth’ Left Japan Ripe for Nuclear Crisis
 
Over several decades, Japan’s nuclear establishment has devoted vast resources to persuade the Japanese public of the safety and necessity of nuclear power. Plant operators built lavish, fantasy-filled public relations buildings that became tourist attractions. Bureaucrats spun elaborate advertising campaigns through a multitude of organizations established solely to advertise the safety of nuclear plants. Politicians pushed through the adoption of government-mandated school textbooks with friendly views of nuclear power.


The result was the widespread adoption of the belief — called the “safety myth” — that Japan’s nuclear power plants were absolutely safe. Japan single-mindedly pursued nuclear power even as Western nations distanced themselves from it.
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